Will AI replace medical and health services managers?

Unlikely, though parts of the work are changing. About 31m of an 8-hour shift goes to tasks touched by AI working on its own. The other 7h 29m (94%) stays with people. Separately, BLS expects about 24.2% more of these jobs by 2035 (all jobs: +3.5%).

AI shows up regularly in 2 of 18 tasks, about 31m of a typical shift. The biggest ones:

• Prepare activity reports to inform management of the status and implementation plans of programs, services, and quality initiatives. (21m a shift, AI mostly does it alone)
• Develop instructional materials and conduct in-service and community-based educational programs. (10m a shift, AI mostly does it alone)

Not in workplaces like this one, based on a 2026 review of robot deployments. For 1 physical task, no robot has shown it can do the work yet.

7h 29m of a typical shift, or 94%, goes to tasks with no AI or robot evidence yet. No AI usage or robot deployment has shown up for these so far. The biggest:

• Direct, supervise and evaluate work activities of medical, nursing, technical, clerical, service, maintenance, and other personnel. (1h 13m a shift)
• Plan, implement, and administer programs and services in a health care or medical facility, including personnel administration, training, and coordination of medical, nursing and physical plant staff. (47m a shift)
• Conduct and administer fiscal operations, including accounting, planning budgets, authorizing expenditures, establishing rates for services, and coordinating financial reporting. (42m a shift)
• Maintain communication between governing boards, medical staff, and department heads by attending board meetings and coordinating interdepartmental functioning. (42m a shift)
• Monitor the use of diagnostic services, inpatient beds, facilities, and staff to ensure effective use of resources and assess the need for additional staff, equipment, and services. (31m a shift)

Much of it comes down to where and how the work happens. In-person, hands-on and high-stakes work is where AI and robots have made the least headway so far. In the official O*NET survey of people in this job:

• 82% are in constant contact with other people
• 75% talk face to face with others every day
• 71% say dealing with the public is very or extremely important

We track 1 sourced company move that affects this job. Most recent:

• May 12, 2026: Tampa General uses AI agents for claims, denials and appeal letters (Rolling out)

For the 1 task in this job where AI shows up and timing data exists, a typical request takes about 2h 31m for a person alone and about 18m with AI. These are Claude's own estimates from real conversations in April and May 2026 (Anthropic Economic Index). They describe single requests, not whole workdays, and time saved on a task doesn't mean jobs are cut. The biggest gaps:

• Prepare activity reports to inform management of the status and implementation plans of programs, services, and quality initiatives (about 2h 31m alone, 18m with AI)

On Indeed, job postings in the Management sector are at 104% of their February 2020 level (all U.S. postings: 104%), up 8.3% from a year earlier, as of Oct 9, 2026. BLS separately expects about 62,000 openings a year in this job through 2035. Across all U.S. postings, 7.3% now mention AI skills. Sector postings cover more than this one job and move for many reasons besides AI.

The median pay is about $123,860 a year ($59.55 an hour), 143% above the median for all U.S. jobs ($50,980). Most people in this job earn between $73,390 and $224,340 a year; that range covers the middle 80%. Pay figures are from BLS, May 2025, and vary a lot by state and employer. Pick a state to compare:

BLS projects growth of 24.2% from 2025 to 2035, compared with 3.5% growth for all jobs. That's about 796,000 jobs in 2035. It expects about 62,000 openings a year, mostly from people retiring or changing careers. These projections don't single out AI as a cause.

About 597,000 people in the U.S., roughly 0.38% of all workers (BLS, May 2025). That makes it the 71st largest of the 796 jobs on this site. BLS expects about 796,000 in 2035.

The most common requirement is a bachelor's degree: about 46% of people in the job said so in the official O*NET survey. O*NET rates the job at level 4 of 5 for preparation, which usually means: bachelor's degree. Requirements vary by state and employer, especially for licensed work.

These come from the job's official skill ratings and from the tasks that AI and robots touch least today. Building them keeps you strong in the parts of the work that still need a person:

• Skills that matter more here than in most jobs: Management of Material Resources, Management of Financial Resources, Management of Personnel Resources, Time Management
• Get strong at the parts of the job that stay with people (listed above), which take 7h 29m of a typical shift
• Tools employers list: Microsoft PowerPoint, Microsoft Outlook, Microsoft Office software, Microsoft Excel, Adobe Acrobat
• Learn to use AI well on the tasks where it already shows up in this job (listed above)

These use similar skills, with less of a typical shift touched by AI or robots. Matches come from 109 official ratings of skills, knowledge and work activities, and each needs the same or less preparation unless the official list relates the jobs directly:

• Human Resources Managers (0m touched, $149k median pay)
• Emergency Management Directors (0m touched, $93k median pay)
• Administrative Services Managers (0m touched, $114k median pay)
• Supply Chain Managers (0m touched, $107k median pay)

Each task carries its own evidence label. For this job: 2 observed in real AI use, 16 with no AI or robot evidence found. The minutes per task are estimates, not measured hours, and "no evidence" doesn't prove a task is safe.